Your fully-built baseball prop model: player-anchored probabilities, park & weather factors, batter-vs-pitcher, launch angle, and the accuracy/calibration tracker.
Open MLB Projector →Keep this hub file in the same folder as MLB_Projector.html. That filename never changes, so this button won't break when you update to a newer version.
🎯 v1 Scope agreed
Starting narrow with the passing game, expanding from a proven core.
- Positions: QB, WR, RB, TE
- Props: pass yards, receptions, receiving yards, passing TDs, + longest completion/reception (low-confidence flagged)
- Baseline: last 1-2 seasons, recency-weighted, seeded before kickoff
- Defense engine: def-vs-position rank, def-vs-offense rank, sack%, explosive-play rate
- Grading: value-based (margin + error vs a naive baseline). Probabilities wait for real odds.
🔧 Build Progress
Capture and baselines for the 2026-27 season: every book's player-prop line side by side (Hard Rock, BetMGM and the rest), a nightly pregame snapshot, next-morning grading from box scores, and 2024-25 / 2025-26 baselines. No model numbers yet — projections arrive in Phase 1 once the record is accumulating.
Open NBA Projector →Keep this hub in the same folder as NBA_Projector.html.